希拉莉幾乎在所有州都失票,有些更失掉近乎雙位數的%。這顯示她未能勸動4年前支持奧巴馬的人出來。
那 Trump 是否搶走很多票呢?也不是!升票和跌票的州分是一半半,很多州是希普二人都一齊跌票。這印證了兩點,一是很多選民兩個都投不下手,寧投第三人或白票,二是特朗普相較羅姆尼並沒有開辟很多新票源。
換言之,特朗普是贏在跌票沒希拉莉跌得那麼多,特朗普大致維持共和黨基本盤,但希拉莉維持不到。還有就是特朗普剛好在一些重要州分超前希拉莉,令選舉人票增加。
最新CNN報票顯示希拉莉的普選票正在追上特朗普,而剩下未開的票大部分都是在加州,即希拉莉票倉。筆者今早第一次 update 時已提過,有美媒估希拉莉可能贏普選票輸選舉人票。且看如何。
Obama
|
Hillary
|
Romney
|
Trump
|
% counted
|
|
Alabama
|
38.36
|
34.6
|
60.55
|
62.9
|
99
|
Alaska
|
40.81
|
37.6
|
54.8
|
53.3
|
67
|
Arizona
|
44.59
|
45.4
|
53.65
|
49.6
|
73
|
Arkansas
|
36.88
|
33.8
|
60.57
|
60.4
|
99
|
California
|
60.24
|
61.5
|
37.12
|
33.3
|
64
|
Colorado
|
51.49
|
47.2
|
46.13
|
44.6
|
83
|
Connecticut
|
58.06
|
54
|
40.73
|
41.6
|
94
|
Delaware
|
58.61
|
53.4
|
39.98
|
41.9
|
99
|
DC
|
90.91
|
92.8
|
7.28
|
4.1
|
81
|
Florida
|
50.01
|
47.7
|
49.13
|
49.1
|
98
|
Georgia
|
45.48
|
45.5
|
63.3
|
51.4
|
92
|
Hawaii
|
70.55
|
62.3
|
27.84
|
30.1
|
90
|
Idaho
|
32.62
|
28
|
64.53
|
58.6
|
98
|
Illinois
|
57.6
|
55.4
|
40.73
|
39.4
|
96
|
Indiana
|
43.93
|
37.9
|
54.13
|
57.2
|
97
|
Iowa
|
51.99
|
42.3
|
46.18
|
51.7
|
99
|
Kansas
|
37.99
|
35.9
|
59.71
|
57.5
|
93
|
Kentucky
|
37.8
|
32.7
|
60.49
|
62.5
|
99
|
Louisiana
|
40.58
|
38.4
|
57.78
|
58.1
|
99
|
Maine
|
56.27
|
48
|
40.98
|
45
|
93
|
Maryland
|
61.97
|
60.5
|
35.9
|
35.3
|
87
|
Massachusetts
|
60.65
|
61
|
37.51
|
33.4
|
99
|
Michigan
|
54.21
|
47.3
|
44.71
|
47.6
|
95
|
Minnesota
|
52.65
|
46.8
|
44.96
|
45.4
|
99
|
Missisippi
|
43.79
|
39.9
|
55.29
|
58.1
|
93
|
Missouri
|
44.38
|
38
|
53.76
|
57.1
|
94
|
Montana
|
41.7
|
34.7
|
55.35
|
58
|
88
|
Nebraska
|
38.03
|
34
|
59.8
|
60.3
|
97
|
Nevada
|
52.36
|
47.9
|
45.68
|
45.5
|
98
|
New Hampshire
|
51.98
|
47.4
|
46.4
|
47.5
|
94
|
New Jersey
|
58.38
|
54.8
|
40.59
|
42
|
93
|
New Mexico
|
52.99
|
48.3
|
42.84
|
40
|
95
|
New York
|
63.35
|
58.7
|
35.17
|
37.5
|
93
|
North Carolina
|
48.35
|
46.7
|
50.39
|
50.5
|
98
|
North Dakota
|
38.69
|
27.8
|
58.32
|
64.1
|
99
|
Ohio
|
50.67
|
43.5
|
47.69
|
52.1
|
94
|
Oklahoma
|
33.23
|
28.9
|
66.77
|
65.3
|
99
|
Oregon
|
54.24
|
51.6
|
42.15
|
41.4
|
80
|
Pennsylvania
|
51.97
|
47.7
|
46.59
|
48.8
|
97
|
Rhode Island
|
62.7
|
54.9
|
35.24
|
40.3
|
93
|
South Carolina
|
44.09
|
40
|
54.56
|
55.6
|
94
|
South Dakota
|
39.87
|
31.7
|
57.89
|
61.5
|
99
|
Tennessee
|
39.08
|
34.9
|
59.48
|
61.1
|
99
|
Texas
|
41.38
|
43.5
|
57.17
|
52.5
|
99
|
Utah
|
24.75
|
28.6
|
72.79
|
45.5
|
73
|
Vermont
|
66.57
|
61.1
|
30.97
|
32.6
|
90
|
Virginia
|
51.16
|
49.7
|
47.28
|
45
|
96
|
Washingotn
|
56.16
|
56.4
|
41.29
|
37.7
|
59
|
West Virginia
|
35.54
|
26.5
|
62.3
|
68.7
|
95
|
Wisconsin
|
52.83
|
46.9
|
45.89
|
47.9
|
95
|
Wyoming
|
27.82
|
22.5
|
68.64
|
70.1
|
99
|
沒有留言:
張貼留言