2017年2月2日

只有大城市撐希拉莉?希拉莉贏普選票?

美國各地有反特朗普示威,香港右膠說「只有大城市在示威嘛,鄉下人都支持他的」,左膠則說「但希拉莉是贏普選票」。兩句話其實沒有衝突,因為大城市的人口比鄉下多,希拉莉只靠幾個州就夠贏普選票。

根據美國選舉分析網站 Cook Political Report 的報票結果推算,希拉莉單是在加州一個州贏凸的普選票 (427萬),已經足以抵銷特朗普在23個州贏凸的普選票 (417萬),雖然選舉人票方面就差得遠了。


希拉莉在加州、紐約州、伊利諾伊州 (芝加哥)、麻省 (波士頓)、首都華盛頓、夏威夷贏凸了826萬票普選票,幾乎跟特朗普在全部30個州贏凸的836萬票打平。希拉莉還有15個州的296萬票未用上,但特朗普已經有足夠選舉人票當選總統。

希拉莉總共贏特朗普287萬票普選票或2.1%,選舉人票卻是特朗普以304對227大勝 (計入有選舉人改變立場後。如果沒有選舉人改變立場會是306對232)。

Cook Political Report 連結:http://cookpolitical.com/story/10174

數表:

State
Clinton (D)
Trump (R)
difference




U.S. Total
65,853,516
62,984,824
2,868,692




Trump Won



Michigan*
2,268,839
2,279,543
10,704
Wisconsin*
1,382,536
1,405,284
22,748
Pennsylvania*
2,926,441
2,970,733
44,292
Alaska*
116,454
163,387
46,933
Arizona*
1,161,167
1,252,401
91,234
Montana*
177,709
279,240
101,531
South Dakota*
117,458
227,721
110,263
Florida*
4,504,975
4,617,886
112,911
Wyoming*
55,973
174,419
118,446
North Dakota*
93,758
216,794
123,036
Iowa*
653,669
800,983
147,314
North Carolina*
2,189,316
2,362,631
173,315
Utah*
310,676
515,231
204,555
Georgia*
1,877,963
2,089,104
211,141
Nebraska*
284,494
495,961
211,467
Mississippi*
485,131
700,714
215,583
Idaho*
189,765
409,055
219,290
Kansas*
427,005
671,018
244,013
South Carolina*
855,373
1,155,389
300,016
West Virginia*
188,794
489,371
300,577
Arkansas*
380,494
684,872
304,378
Louisiana*
780,154
1,178,638
398,484
Ohio*
2,394,164
2,841,005
446,841



4,159,072
Missouri*
1,071,068
1,594,511
523,443
Indiana*
1,033,126
1,557,286
524,160
Oklahoma*
420,375
949,136
528,761
Kentucky*
628,854
1,202,971
574,117
Alabama*
729,547
1,318,255
588,708
Tennessee*
870,695
1,522,925
652,230
Texas*
3,877,868
4,685,047
807,179



8,357,670




Hillary won



California*
8,753,788
4,483,810
4,269,978
New York*
4,556,124
2,819,534
1,736,590
Illinois*
3,090,729
2,146,015
944,714
Massachusetts*
1,995,196
1,090,893
904,303
District of Columbia*
282,830
12,723
270,107
Hawaii*
266,891
128,847
138,044



8,263,736
Maryland*
1,677,928
943,169
734,759
New Jersey*
2,148,278
1,601,933
546,345
Washington*
1,742,718
1,221,747
520,971
Connecticut*
897,572
673,215
224,357
Oregon*
1,002,106
782,403
219,703
Virginia*
1,981,473
1,769,443
212,030
Colorado*
1,338,870
1,202,484
136,386
Vermont*
178,573
95,369
83,204
Rhode Island*
252,525
180,543
71,982
New Mexico*
385,234
319,666
65,568
Delaware*
235,603
185,127
50,476
Minnesota*
1,367,716
1,322,951
44,765
Nevada*
539,260
512,058
27,202
Maine*
357,735
335,593
22,142
New Hampshire*
348,526
345,790
2,736



11,226,812

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